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Poker News | Casino Poker | Tournament Reports

WSOP Day 4: Moving Day

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The World Series of Poker Main Event pushed from 1,159 players through the cash bubble and worked down to 481 players, completing Level 15. Some quick observations heading into Saturday, which may make this quite a dynamic day:

Analysis

  • The field catches up: The stack of the chip lead position increased from Dmitry Nobles $549,200 to start the day to Jon Lane's $654,000 to end the day, an increase of $105,200 and only a 19% increase. This is after the average stack increased 139% from $76k to $182k. There were no players within 25 starting pots (blinds and antes) to start Day 3. Day 4, there are 100 players within 25 starting pots. What this means is that, in essence, we have no chip leader heading into Day 4.
  • And there is no chip leader: Dmitry Nobles was a clear chip leader on Day 3, with a 24% edge over second place. Nobles is now joined by chip leader Jon Lane and 3rd place Albert Padilla, only $14k behind Lane. The top 25 players hold 12.5% this morning vs. 8.4% heading into Friday.
  • Blinds and antes matter, especially in the afternoon: The chip leader starts with an M of 59 to start the day. The blind structure moves from $2k/4k with $500 antes to start the day, $2.5k/$5.0k with $500 antes after two hours, then jumps to $3k/6k with $1k ante. Unless players can have serious movement after two hours, the blinds will start eating everyone alive at $19k per round. Tables also are starting with either 8 or 9 players, which means this will only increase.
  • Everyone's short stacked: Maybe not everyone, but a significant portion of the field. The remaining 481 players(36%) have an M less than ten. Forty-four sit at an M less than 5, 127 have an M between 5-10 and interestingly enough only 99 have an M between 10-15. The chip average is $182,190, and the median is $146,000. There are 184 players above average in chips, and with no clear leader, anyone can emerge from the pack today.


Top Tables by Chip Count (by average)

  • Table 206 ($279k): Mark Garner and Dan Nassit each have more than $500k, as well as two other players with more than $300k.
  • Table 199 ($270k): Allen Cunningham $278k, good for 4th place at this table led by Vipul Kothari's $510k. Throw out Travis Johnecheck's $29.5k, and the average jumps up to $303k.
  • Table 195 ($255k): Three players around $450k in chips will make this a table to watch.

*NOTE: there is an error with Jamie Gold as he sits at a table by himself to start the day, so his placement may change these results*


Bottom Tables by Chip Count

  • Table 176 ($100k): Six players have less than $105k in chips
  • Table 186 ($121k): Six players with less than $105k in chips here as well.
  • Table 166 ($124k): The name that jumps out is Ted Forrest at $78k. Steve Goodemore has $246k in chips, and then no one else is close. Forrest won't be looking to sneak up the money ladder; he'll need to start grabbing chips.

Check back frequently for more insight and up to date reports. You can always see the latest action at Quest of a Closet Poker Player. Included later will be pros to watch and other insights.

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